Tampa Bay Rowdies 5-0 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
6.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
64%
-14.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +9%
2.04/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.80
+18% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.2 Crosses 12.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
4W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Tulsa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.66 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
341 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-2 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
30.07.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
02.06.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-1 HT 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
17.04.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
07.11.2021 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 6-2 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
5-0
AWAY FC Tulsa
3.87 xG 0.21
36% Ball Possession 64%
21 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 8
230 Passes 481
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
28 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay Rowdies vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampa Bay Rowdies cruised past FC Tulsa 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 36% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 64%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 3.87 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.00 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs FC Tulsa?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 5-0 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 49%, draw 23%, FC Tulsa 27%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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