Indy Eleven 4-1 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.48/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.76
-30% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.3 Crosses 16.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
11.06.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
14.08.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-1 HT 2-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
01.05.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 1-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
30.07.2020 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 4-1 HT 1-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
14.07.2019 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
4-1
AWAY Hartford Athletic
4.01 xG 0.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 12
13 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 6
255 Passes 243
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Indy Eleven ran out comfortable winners over Hartford Athletic 4-1 in the USL Championship on 19 May 2024. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 51% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 49%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 4.01 to 0.61.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.00 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic?

Indy Eleven 4-1 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 46%, draw 25%, Hartford Athletic 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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