Loudoun United 3-0 Monterey Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 May 2024

Loudoun United
3-0 HT 1-0
Monterey Bay
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Loudoun United vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 34% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.1pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Loudoun United v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 38%
-17% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.32/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.72
-12% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
17.1 Crosses 13.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Loudoun United vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Monterey Bay
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.54 xG 2.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
376 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.06.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 4-1 HT 1-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
31.07.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP

Loudoun United 3-0 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
3-0
AWAY Monterey Bay
1.10 xG 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
539 Passes 340
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
35 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Monterey Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United swept aside Monterey Bay 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Loudoun United found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Loudoun United had 60% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 40%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.10 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Loudoun United and 2.50 for Monterey Bay.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Monterey Bay?

Loudoun United 3-0 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Monterey Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 33%, draw 28%, Monterey Bay 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Monterey Bay), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterey Bay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
19 May 2024
02:00 Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs North Carolina Analysis →
02:30 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs FC Tulsa Analysis →
05:00 Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC Analysis →
05:30 Las Vegas Lights vs Louisville City Analysis →
05:30 Phoenix Rising vs Miami FC Analysis →