Phoenix Rising 2-0 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.74/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.73
-7% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
22.1 Crosses 13.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phoenix Rising
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Miami FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.06 xG 1.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
350 Passes 336
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 20
34 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.07.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
24.04.2022 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-1 HT 1-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phoenix Rising
2-0
AWAY Miami FC
1.46 xG 0.26
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
582 Passes 199
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Phoenix Rising vs Miami FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phoenix Rising got the better of Miami FC 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Phoenix Rising had 70% of the ball to Miami FC's 30%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.46 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.50 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Miami FC?

Phoenix Rising 2-0 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 55%, draw 23%, Miami FC 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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