Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.4
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.32/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.73
-17% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.7 Crosses 11.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2W-0D-2L
AWAY North Carolina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.02 xG 2.27
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 454
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2019 North Carolina North Carolina 5-0 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
21.07.2019 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 1-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
29.07.2018 North Carolina North Carolina 2-1 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
05.07.2018 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 HT 1-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-1
AWAY North Carolina
1.88 xG 0.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 371
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds and North Carolina couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 46% of the ball to North Carolina's 54%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.88 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.75 for North Carolina.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs North Carolina?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 41%, draw 27%, North Carolina 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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