Gil Vicente U23 2-4 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-5.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Vizela U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
16.04.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-0 HT 0-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
14.02.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 4-3 HT 3-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2-4
AWAY Vizela U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 saw off Gil Vicente U23 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gil Vicente U23 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 53% of the ball to Vizela U23's 47%, shots finished 13-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 2.00 for Vizela U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23?

Gil Vicente U23 2-4 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 50%, draw 29%, Vizela U23 21%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gil Vicente U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGA More Portugal - U23 National Championship
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