Beijing Guoan 7-0 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 20 Aug 2025

📅20/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
15%
4.08
Away
37%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
5.18
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
45%
1.94
4-5 Goals
32%
2.5
6+ Goals
9%
5.82
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.94 — our 45% vs market 42.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.96
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
2%
14.35
X/1
15%
4.33
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
10.25
X/X
5%
6.85
2/1
15%
18.45
2/2
11%
7.13
2/X
8%
15.7
Value flag · X/2 at 10.25 — our 22% vs market 6.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.0pp
16%
Draw
21%
-5.3pp
37%
Away Win
20%
+16.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beijing Guoan
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.75 xG 0.88
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
468 Passes 145
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-1 HT 0-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
22.02.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 0-2 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
POST-MATCH Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beijing Guoan cruised past Yunnan Yukun 7-0. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beijing Guoan as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Beijing Guoan had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Beijing Guoan and 0.50 for Yunnan Yukun.

What was the final score of Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun?

Beijing Guoan 7-0 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Beijing Guoan 48%, draw 16%, Yunnan Yukun 37%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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