Magesi 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 20 Aug 2025

📅20/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
53%
Away Win
59%
-5.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magesi EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 62%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -8%
1.08/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.72
+85% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +30%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
209 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
17.5 Crosses 13.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magesi
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.40 xG 0.80
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
113 Passes 575
62% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.01.2025 Magesi Magesi 1-2 HT 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
23.11.2024 Magesi Magesi 2-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magesi
0-2
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.90 xG 1.03
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
127 Passes 405
66% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Magesi vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns saw off Magesi 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Magesi had 31% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 69%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.90 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Magesi and 1.50 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Magesi vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Magesi 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magesi vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Magesi 20%, draw 26%, Mamelodi Sundowns 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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