Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Qadsiah v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
3-1
HT 2-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-2
HT 1-1
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
0-2
HT 0-0
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
Al-Qadsiah 1-5 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli Jeddah swept aside Al-Qadsiah 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 43% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 57%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.43 to 3.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.33 for Al Ahli Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Qadsiah 1-5 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Super Cup on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 31%, draw 29%, Al Ahli Jeddah 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.