Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.50/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.83
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.0 Crosses 14.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.78 xG 1.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
408 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
14.05.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
08.01.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
08.03.2019 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
09.11.2018 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-2 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
09.03.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4-1
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
2.51 xG 1.26
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
219 Passes 386
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah cruised past Al-Qadsiah 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 38% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 62%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 2.51 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.17 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 41%, draw 26%, Al-Qadsiah 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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