Al Raed 1-2 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Feb 2025

Al Raed
1-2 HT 0-1
Al Shabab Riyadh
📅25/02/2025 · 🕒17:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Raed vs Al Shabab Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
42%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.96
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
2.87
6+ Goals
9%
8.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 26% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
42%
Away Win
56%
-14.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Raed v Al Shabab Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 61%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
0.77/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.11
-57% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -13%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
14.1 Crosses 18.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Raed vs Al Shabab Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.71 xG 1.53
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
253 Passes 500
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
04.05.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
09.11.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
18.03.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
06.10.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
27.05.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD

Al Raed 1-2 Al Shabab Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
1-2
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.65 xG 2.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
419 Passes 434
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh edged past Al Raed 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Raed had 49% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 51%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.65 to 2.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Shabab Riyadh's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Raed and 1.67 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Raed 1-2 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 31%, draw 27%, Al Shabab Riyadh 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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