Al-Qadsiah 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 40%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.82/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.30
+6% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.9 Crosses 20.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
284 Passes 407
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
08.01.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
08.03.2019 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
09.11.2018 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-2 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
09.03.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
24.11.2017 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
1-0
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.40 xG 1.58
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
247 Passes 357
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah squeezed past Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 42% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 58%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 1.40 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.33 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al-Qadsiah 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 41%, draw 26%, Al Ahli Jeddah 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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