Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.32
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.98
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.61
No
60%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
7.27
2-3 Goals
41%
2.22
4-5 Goals
25%
2.44
6+ Goals
9%
4.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-8.1pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.5pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
58%
-18.0pp
60%
BTTS No
42%
+18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.08/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.82
-1% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
411 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
18.6 Crosses 14.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Khaleej
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.23 xG 0.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
358 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
30.11.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-2 HT 2-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
03.03.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
15.09.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
03.01.2017 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
21.03.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
2.88 xG 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
550 Passes 280
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah ran out comfortable winners over Al Khaleej 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 65% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 35%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.88 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 0.67 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Khaleej?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 63%, draw 16%, Al Khaleej 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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