Al Nassr 2-0 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.17
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.29
2-3 Goals
35%
2.34
4-5 Goals
31%
2.38
6+ Goals
16%
4.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-14.8pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.7pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.31/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.45
+13% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -24%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
467 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 75%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
25.5 Crosses 10.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Wehda
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.03 xG 0.62
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
438 Passes 264
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 6-0 HT 4-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
11.11.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
24.04.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SAKK
09.02.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
27.08.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
25.05.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
2-0
AWAY Al Wehda
2.57 xG 0.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
514 Passes 221
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr beat Al Wehda 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Nassr had 66% of the ball to Al Wehda's 34%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.57 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Nassr and 0.50 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Wehda?

Al Nassr 2-0 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 65%, draw 19%, Al Wehda 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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