Leixoes U23 3-2 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 20 Aug 2025

📅20/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
1.97
Over Pick
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
36%
4-5
31%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.5pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 The Market 40%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.84
-100% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +90%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Famalicao U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.12.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 1-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
02.10.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-3 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
05.12.2023 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 3-2 HT 1-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
19.09.2023 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
3-2
AWAY Famalicao U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes U23 edged past Famalicao U23 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leixoes U23 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 49% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 51%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leixoes U23 and 2.25 for Famalicao U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Leixoes U23 3-2 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 20/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 44%, draw 21%, Famalicao U23 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leixoes U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGA More Portugal - U23 National Championship
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