Illertissen 2-1 Türkgücü München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
78%
-10.0pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.1pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+5.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.8pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.74/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/2.53
+4% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
467 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Türkgücü München
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.11.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 1-2 HT 1-2 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 3-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 1-1 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
21.10.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 2-0 HT 1-0 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Türkgücü München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen squeezed past Türkgücü München 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Illertissen as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Türkgücü München led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Illertissen and 1.50 for Türkgücü München.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Türkgücü München?

Illertissen 2-1 Türkgücü München in the Germany - Regional League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Türkgücü München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illertissen win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 68%, draw 19%, Türkgücü München 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Illertissen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Illertissen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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