Schweinfurt 3-2 Wacker Burghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.6pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
2.07/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.43
+15% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schweinfurt
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wacker Burghausen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
23.03.2024 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 2-0 HT 2-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
08.09.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 3-0 HT 3-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
13.08.2022 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 1-1 HT 1-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
27.11.2021 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 2-2 HT 0-2 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
03.08.2021 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 5-2 HT 4-2 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schweinfurt vs Wacker Burghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schweinfurt nicked a narrow win over Wacker Burghausen 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Schweinfurt found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wacker Burghausen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Schweinfurt and 2.33 for Wacker Burghausen.

What was the final score of Schweinfurt vs Wacker Burghausen?

Schweinfurt 3-2 Wacker Burghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schweinfurt vs Wacker Burghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schweinfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Schweinfurt 39%, draw 31%, Wacker Burghausen 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schweinfurt), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Schweinfurt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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