Weiche Flensburg 1-3 Kickers Emden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 38%
-16% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kickers Emden
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
26.11.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 4-1 HT 1-1 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
30.07.2022 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 0-2 HT 0-2 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs Kickers Emden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kickers Emden saw off Weiche Flensburg 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kickers Emden found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weiche Flensburg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 0.50 for Kickers Emden.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs Kickers Emden?

Weiche Flensburg 1-3 Kickers Emden in the Germany - Regional League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs Kickers Emden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 36%, draw 31%, Kickers Emden 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) ✓ BTTS Yes
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