FC Volna Pinsk 3-2 Energetik-BGU Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.9pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Energetik-BGU Minsk EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
2.11/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.32
-10% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Energetik-BGU Minsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
10.06.2015 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Energetik-BGU Minsk Energetik-BGU Minsk BLRK
18.10.2014 Energetik-BGU Minsk Energetik-BGU Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BRU1
15.06.2014 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-2 HT 1-1 Energetik-BGU Minsk Energetik-BGU Minsk BRU1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
3-2
AWAY Energetik-BGU Minsk
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Volna Pinsk vs Energetik-BGU Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk edged past Energetik-BGU Minsk 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Volna Pinsk as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Volna Pinsk had 54% of the ball to Energetik-BGU Minsk's 46%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Energetik-BGU Minsk led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Volna Pinsk and 1.00 for Energetik-BGU Minsk.

What was the final score of FC Volna Pinsk vs Energetik-BGU Minsk?

FC Volna Pinsk 3-2 Energetik-BGU Minsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Volna Pinsk vs Energetik-BGU Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Volna Pinsk 57%, draw 25%, Energetik-BGU Minsk 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR1 More Belarus - 1st Division
20 Sep 2024
16:30 Lida vs BATE II Analysis →
16:30 Belshina vs Dnepr Rogachev Analysis →
17:00 Orsha vs Shakhtyor Petrikov Analysis →