Belshina 2-4 Dnepr Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
29%
+15.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
46%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belshina EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 50%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.03/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/2.00
+129% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
229 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belshina
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev 1-1 HT 1-1 Belshina Belshina BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belshina
2-4
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belshina vs Dnepr Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev saw off Belshina 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Belshina at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Belshina had 56% of the ball to Dnepr Rogachev's 44%, shots finished 10-18.

What was the final score of Belshina vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Belshina 2-4 Dnepr Rogachev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belshina vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belshina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Belshina 44%, draw 23%, Dnepr Rogachev 32%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Belshina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belshina) ✓ Over 2.5
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