Universitario de Vinto 0-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.42/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.12
-26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
18.9 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.42 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
231 Passes 289
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
07.03.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-2 HT 0-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi CON CSA
03.10.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.08.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
17.04.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
0-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.44 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
323 Passes 284
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi nicked a narrow win over Universitario de Vinto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Nacional Potosi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 54% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 46%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.44 to 0.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured Universitario de Vinto.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.20 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi?

Universitario de Vinto 0-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 38%, draw 29%, Nacional Potosi 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitario de Vinto), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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