Botafogo SP 0-1 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Sep 2024

Botafogo SP
0 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Santos
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.98
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.58
Over
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.08
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.38
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
15%
5.08
6+
3%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
20%
2/1
1%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Botafogo SP The Market 25%
Signal
AWAY Santos The Market 53%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
0.99 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
1.31 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.63
Great Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Great
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
14 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Santos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.84 xG 1.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
293 Passes 352
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2024 Santos Santos 1-2 HT 0-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
21.01.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
27.04.2023 Santos Santos 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRK
12.04.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-2 HT 0-2 Santos Santos BRK
29.01.2022 Santos Santos 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
11.04.2021 Santos Santos 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
0 - 1
AWAY Santos
0.77 xG 0.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
338 Passes 467
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Botafogo SP vs Santos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Santos came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Botafogo SP 1-0 on the road.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Santos saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.77 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Botafogo SP against 0.83 for Santos.

Botafogo SP vs Santos Result & Final Score

Botafogo SP 0 - 1 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Botafogo SP vs Santos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 20%, draw 30%, Santos 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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