Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
53%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 58%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.62/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.99
+62% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alianza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
28.04.2024 Alianza Alianza 3-1 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
11.03.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
03.12.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.11.2023 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
07.10.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-2 HT 0-2 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
14.08.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza saw off Fuerte San Francisco 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.67 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?

Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 21%, draw 26%, Alianza 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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