Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza v Fuerte San Francisco — Team-Based Signals
Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Alianza
ELSAL
4-0
HT 2-0
Fuerte San Francisco
ELSAL
1-2
HT 0-2
Fuerte San Francisco
ELSAL
0-1
HT 0-1
Alianza
ELSAL
Alianza saw off Fuerte San Francisco 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Alianza and 0.80 for Fuerte San Francisco.
What was the final score of Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Alianza 3-1 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Alianza 58%, draw 23%, Fuerte San Francisco 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.