Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 Santa Tecla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
65%
-16.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.66/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.84
-4% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Santa Tecla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
3 Corners 9
10.03.2024 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 3-3 HT 3-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
09.11.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
07.09.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-0 HT 2-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
08.05.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-2 HT 0-2 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
12.03.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
08.05.2022 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Santa Tecla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo squeezed past Santa Tecla 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 0.83 for Santa Tecla.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Santa Tecla?

Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 Santa Tecla in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Santa Tecla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 48%, draw 25%, Santa Tecla 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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