Isidro Metapan 2-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.38/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.33
-1% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Platense
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
5 Corners 6
11.03.2024 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
23.10.2023 Platense Platense 1-4 HT 1-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
27.08.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-3 HT 1-2 Platense Platense ELSAL
02.04.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-1 HT 2-1 Platense Platense ELSAL
16.02.2023 Platense Platense 3-3 HT 1-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
10.07.2022 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan squeezed past Platense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Isidro Metapan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Isidro Metapan and 1.50 for Platense.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Platense?

Isidro Metapan 2-1 Platense in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 47%, draw 25%, Platense 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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