Penybont 2-1 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

Penybont
2-1 HT 1-1
The New Saints
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Penybont vs The New Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
35%
4.19
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.7pp
35%
Draw
20%
+14.1pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-18.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Penybont v The New Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 70%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
0.82/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.76/0.53
-9% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +73%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Penybont vs The New Saints Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
0W-2D-4L
AWAY The New Saints
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
07.10.2023 Penybont Penybont 1-4 HT 1-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
04.03.2023 Penybont Penybont 0-2 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
25.02.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 1-1 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
19.11.2022 Penybont Penybont 0-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
20.08.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 1-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
POST-MATCH Penybont vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont nicked a narrow win over The New Saints 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was The New Saints at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Penybont and 1.83 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Penybont vs The New Saints?

Penybont 2-1 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Penybont 18%, draw 35%, The New Saints 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (The New Saints) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ BTTS Yes
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