Aberystwyth Town 0-3 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

Aberystwyth Town
0-3 HT 0-0
Haverfordwest County
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
36%
4.08
Away
43%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.8
Over 2.5
33%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
3.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.79
6+ Goals
7%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 40% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.4pp
36%
Draw
21%
+14.8pp
43%
Away Win
66%
-23.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
52%
+15.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
48%
-15.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberystwyth Town v Haverfordwest County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 70%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.82/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.79
+23% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +4%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
214 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards –

Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
The Meetings
15.03.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
02.02.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
30.12.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
30.09.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-0 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
15.04.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
11.03.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County swept aside Aberystwyth Town 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 1.33 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Aberystwyth Town 0-3 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 21%, draw 36%, Haverfordwest County 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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