Nassaji Mazandaran 2-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.51
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
6.0
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.9pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 59%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
0.94/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.41
+59% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +28%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.05.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-4 HT 0-3 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
19.12.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 4-0 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
09.12.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
28.02.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
10.09.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-1 HT 2-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
28.02.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Nassaji Mazandaran vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nassaji Mazandaran and Esteghlal Khuzestan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Esteghlal Khuzestan at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nassaji Mazandaran and 1.50 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Nassaji Mazandaran vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Nassaji Mazandaran 2-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nassaji Mazandaran 25%, draw 25%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 51%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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