Persepolis 2-0 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.67
No
59%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
33%
+8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
67%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persepolis EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 15%
+10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.68/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/0.60
+2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persepolis
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
26.04.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 4-4 HT 0-2 Persepolis Persepolis IRANK
15.02.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
09.08.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
01.02.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
26.08.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
10.04.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 2-3 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRANK
POST-MATCH Persepolis vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis got the better of Aluminium Arak 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Persepolis as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Persepolis and 1.33 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Persepolis vs Aluminium Arak?

Persepolis 2-0 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persepolis vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Persepolis 56%, draw 24%, Aluminium Arak 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persepolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Persepolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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