Sporting San Jose 0-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
26%
+11.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
47%
-13.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.47/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.04
+27% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
13.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
09.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-2 HT 0-2 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
06.08.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
30.03.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
30.01.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-1 HT 3-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense edged past Sporting San Jose 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Alajuelense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting San Jose and 1.00 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Alajuelense?

Sporting San Jose 0-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting San Jose win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 37%, draw 30%, Alajuelense 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting San Jose), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting San Jose) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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20 Sep 2024
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