Guangdong Mingtu 0-1 Hubei Istar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.78
Over 2.5
36%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.76
No
59%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.3pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangdong Mingtu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hubei Istar EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.7
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangdong Mingtu
0-1
AWAY Hubei Istar
0.62 xG 1.54
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
122 Passes 80
44% Pass Accuracy 40%
24 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Istar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hubei Istar edged past Guangdong Mingtu 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Hubei Istar made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Guangdong Mingtu had 59% of the ball to Hubei Istar's 41%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.62 to 1.54.

What was the final score of Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Istar?

Guangdong Mingtu 0-1 Hubei Istar in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Istar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangdong Mingtu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guangdong Mingtu 39%, draw 27%, Hubei Istar 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guangdong Mingtu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangdong Mingtu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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