Suzhou Dongwu 1-0 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.25/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.19
-32% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
22.4 Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.90 xG 0.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 Passes 261
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
11.05.2025 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
05.10.2024 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 2-1 HT 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
26.05.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 3-3 HT 1-3 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
31.05.2023 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.70 xG 0.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
196 Passes 236
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suzhou Dongwu vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu squeezed past Qingdao Red Lions 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Suzhou Dongwu as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Suzhou Dongwu had 47% of the ball to Qingdao Red Lions's 53%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.70 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Suzhou Dongwu's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Suzhou Dongwu had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.25 for Qingdao Red Lions.

What was the final score of Suzhou Dongwu vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Suzhou Dongwu 1-0 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suzhou Dongwu vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suzhou Dongwu win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Suzhou Dongwu 56%, draw 25%, Qingdao Red Lions 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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