Shaanxi Union 0-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
26%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.56/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.93
+1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
15.4 Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shaanxi Union
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.62 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
259 Passes 189
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-0 HT 1-0 Shaanxi Union Shaanxi Union ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shaanxi Union
0-1
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.24 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
279 Passes 260
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding nicked a narrow win over Shaanxi Union 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shaanxi Union at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Shaanxi Union had 53% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 47%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.24 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding?

Shaanxi Union 0-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shaanxi Union win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Shaanxi Union 59%, draw 22%, Yanbian Longding 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Shaanxi Union), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shaanxi Union) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
20 Sep 2025
00:00 Wenzhou FC vs Shanghai Port II Analysis →
11:00 Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Istar Analysis →
11:00 Rizhao Yuqi vs Quanzhou Yassin Analysis →
12:00 Guangxi Lanhang vs Xian Ronghai Analysis →
14:00 Suzhou Dongwu vs Qingdao Red Lions Analysis →
14:00 Wuxi Wugou vs Guangxi Hengchen Analysis →