Kelty Hearts 0-4 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

Kelty Hearts
0-4 HT 0-3
Hamilton
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
60%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 26% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
18%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kelty Hearts v Hamilton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 62%
-11% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.54/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.41
-50% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +86%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Hamilton
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-5 HT 0-3 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
23.12.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
25.11.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKK
12.08.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton swept aside Kelty Hearts 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hamilton led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kelty Hearts and 2.00 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton?

Kelty Hearts 0-4 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 14%, draw 26%, Hamilton 60%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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