Stenhousemuir 3-1 Peterhead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
13%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterhead EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.71/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.61
+10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Peterhead
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.07.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 1-0 Peterhead Peterhead İKLK
23.03.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
27.01.2024 Peterhead Peterhead 2-1 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
14.11.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-0 HT 2-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
12.08.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
23.03.2021 Peterhead Peterhead 0-1 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKK
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Peterhead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir saw off Peterhead 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stenhousemuir and 0.33 for Peterhead.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Peterhead?

Stenhousemuir 3-1 Peterhead in the Scotland - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Peterhead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 48%, draw 25%, Peterhead 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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