Stenhousemuir 1-0 Peterhead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 26 Jul 2025

Stenhousemuir
1-0 HT 1-0
Peterhead
📅26/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Stenhousemuir vs Peterhead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
25%
+12.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
48%
-10.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stenhousemuir v Peterhead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterhead EU Bookmakers 52%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.73/2.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-34% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
226 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Stenhousemuir vs Peterhead Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Peterhead
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
23.03.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
27.01.2024 Peterhead Peterhead 2-1 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
14.11.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-0 HT 2-0 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
12.08.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
23.03.2021 Peterhead Peterhead 0-1 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKK
12.05.2018 Peterhead Peterhead 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Peterhead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir squeezed past Peterhead 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Stenhousemuir found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stenhousemuir and 0.50 for Peterhead.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Peterhead?

Stenhousemuir 1-0 Peterhead in the Scotland - League Cup on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Peterhead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 38%, draw 25%, Peterhead 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ BTTS Yes
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