Ross County 1-3 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 26 Jul 2025

Ross County
1-3 HT 0-1
Partick Thistle
📅26/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Ross County vs Partick Thistle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.78
6+ Goals
14%
16.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.78 — our 24% vs market 20.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Partick Thistle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 27%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.68/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/3.28
+7% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ross County vs Partick Thistle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
237 Passes 310
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 44
28 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Ross County Ross County 0-3 HT 0-2 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKK
04.06.2023 Ross County Ross County 3-1 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
01.06.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-0 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
17.08.2019 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKLK
13.04.2019 Ross County Ross County 0-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
23.02.2019 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-4 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle saw off Ross County 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ross County at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ross County and 1.50 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Partick Thistle?

Ross County 1-3 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - League Cup on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ross County 43%, draw 28%, Partick Thistle 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ross County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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