Stranraer 1-0 Queen Of The South — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 25% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 56%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
2.25/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.94/0.94
+113% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Queen Of The South
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
14.07.2018 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 5-3 HT 3-2 Stranraer Stranraer İKLK
25.07.2015 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İKCK
13.04.2013 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
16.02.2013 Stranraer Stranraer 0-5 HT 0-3 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
26.12.2012 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 4-1 HT 1-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK1
06.10.2012 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Queen Of The South
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer squeezed past Queen Of The South 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Queen Of The South at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queen Of The South led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stranraer and 3.33 for Queen Of The South.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Queen Of The South?

Stranraer 1-0 Queen Of The South in the Scotland - League Cup on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Queen Of The South?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 29%, draw 26%, Queen Of The South 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✗ Over 2.5
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