Forfar Athletic 1-0 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 26 Jul 2025

Forfar Athletic
1-0 HT 1-0
Arbroath
📅26/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Forfar Athletic vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
40%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
55%
-14.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forfar Athletic v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 60%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.98/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/0.33
+103% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
224 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Forfar Athletic vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Arbroath
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
25.07.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 3-1 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKLK
27.11.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 3-0 HT 2-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İKK
30.03.2019 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
26.01.2019 Arbroath Arbroath 0-2 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK1
08.12.2018 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-3 HT 0-1 Arbroath Arbroath İK1
15.09.2018 Arbroath Arbroath 3-1 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic squeezed past Arbroath 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Forfar Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Forfar Athletic and 1.83 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Arbroath?

Forfar Athletic 1-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - League Cup on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 33%, draw 26%, Arbroath 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arbroath) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arbroath) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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