Cheltenham Town 0-3 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.69
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
11%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.98
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
27.5
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
8%
6.42
X/2
11%
4.68
X/X
10%
4.25
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.08
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.6pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.35/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.65
+18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +132%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
233 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 68%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
23.4 Crosses 15.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 1.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
356 Passes 233
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.01.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
03.11.2020 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
04.01.2020 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
05.10.2019 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
19.04.2019 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
23.10.2018 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
0-3
AWAY Oldham Athletic
0.30 xG 3.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
196 Passes 208
67% Pass Accuracy 64%
12 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic swept aside Cheltenham Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Oldham Athletic as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 47% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 53%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.30 to 3.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cheltenham Town and 0.83 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Oldham Athletic?

Cheltenham Town 0-3 Oldham Athletic in the England - 2nd Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 30%, draw 27%, Oldham Athletic 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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