Barrow 1-0 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.62
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
14%
6.08
X/2
14%
4.8
X/X
14%
4.33
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.23
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.17/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.27
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
243 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 70%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.1 Crosses 19.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.66
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
213 Passes 344
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
10.08.2024 Barrow Barrow 1-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
20.01.2024 Barrow Barrow 1-3 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
22.12.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-3 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
07.04.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-0 HT 2-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
29.10.2022 Barrow Barrow 3-0 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
1-0
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
0.65 xG 0.77
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
156 Passes 383
58% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow edged past Crewe Alexandra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Barrow made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Barrow had 36% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 64%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.65 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barrow and 1.67 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Crewe Alexandra?

Barrow 1-0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barrow 38%, draw 27%, Crewe Alexandra 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barrow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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