Cambridge United 2-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.75
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.28
X/2
5%
7.38
X/X
15%
3.91
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
10%
6.3
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.09/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.40
-30% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 69%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.4 Crosses 17.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.08 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
209 Passes 288
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.01.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
02.12.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 4-0 HT 3-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town FAK
12.08.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
07.04.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
21.02.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
29.01.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
2-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.86 xG 1.01
43% Ball Possession 57%
23 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
190 Passes 297
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
45 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United edged past Fleetwood Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cambridge United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cambridge United had 43% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 57%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.86 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambridge United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cambridge United and 0.67 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Fleetwood Town?

Cambridge United 2-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 46%, draw 29%, Fleetwood Town 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambridge United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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