Cambridge United 2-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.82
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
15%
4.46
X/2
9%
7.06
X/X
14%
4.3
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
16%
5.39
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.46/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.45
-4% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
316 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.6 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.05 xG 0.95
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
202 Passes 312
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 4-0 HT 3-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town FAK
12.08.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
07.04.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 1-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
21.02.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
29.01.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
25.09.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-2 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
2-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.18 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
263 Passes 168
65% Pass Accuracy 52%
25 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United edged past Fleetwood Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cambridge United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cambridge United had 56% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 44%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.18 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambridge United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cambridge United and 0.83 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Fleetwood Town?

Cambridge United 2-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambridge United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 42%, draw 28%, Fleetwood Town 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambridge United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambridge United) ✗ Under 2.5
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