Portsmouth 0-3 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.11
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.5
X/1
17%
3.77
X/2
12%
9.97
X/X
13%
4.92
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
12%
8.16
2/X
6%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-13.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.55/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.18
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 62%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
23.4 Crosses 22.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
220 Passes 422
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-2 HT 0-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNTK
12.08.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-4 HT 0-2 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
14.01.2017 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-1 HT 1-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
08.10.2016 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-1 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN2
06.02.2016 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
26.12.2015 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 3-2 HT 2-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
0-3
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.53 xG 1.76
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
432 Passes 207
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 27
30 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient ran out comfortable winners over Portsmouth 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Portsmouth at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Portsmouth had 64% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 36%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.53 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Portsmouth and 1.00 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Leyton Orient?

Portsmouth 0-3 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 43%, draw 27%, Leyton Orient 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Portsmouth), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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