Shrewsbury 0-1 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.39
6+ Goals
10%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.93
1/2
11%
28.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
9%
7.27
X/2
17%
4.18
X/X
14%
4.11
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
18%
2.74
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.92/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.03
-16% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +79%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
244 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 72%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
17.5 Crosses 20.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stevenage
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.30 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
173 Passes 193
54% Pass Accuracy 57%
14 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 0
12.08.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 2-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
24.01.2015 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-2 HT 2-2 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
13.09.2014 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
05.04.2014 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
30.11.2013 Stevenage Stevenage 1-3 HT 1-2 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
23.02.2013 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-1 HT 1-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-1
AWAY Stevenage
0.31 xG 0.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
176 Passes 198
59% Pass Accuracy 58%
10 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage nicked a narrow win over Shrewsbury 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stevenage as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 47% of the ball to Stevenage's 53%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.31 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.17 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Stevenage?

Shrewsbury 0-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 25%, draw 28%, Stevenage 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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