Blackpool 2-0 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.35
6+ Goals
13%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 24% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.99
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.05
X/1
12%
3.72
X/2
8%
10.85
X/X
10%
5.39
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
8%
8.65
2/X
7%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -21%
1.71/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.06
-1% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -39%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.0 Crosses 13.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Exeter City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.57 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
247 Passes 456
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
10.11.2018 Exeter City Exeter City 2-3 HT 0-3 Blackpool Blackpool FAK
28.05.2017 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
25.02.2017 Exeter City Exeter City 2-2 HT 1-2 Blackpool Blackpool İN2
06.08.2016 Blackpool Blackpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
31.03.2001 Exeter City Exeter City 2-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
2-0
AWAY Exeter City
1.85 xG 0.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
364 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool beat Exeter City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Blackpool had 58% of the ball to Exeter City's 42%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.85 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Blackpool and 1.17 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Exeter City?

Blackpool 2-0 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 57%, draw 23%, Exeter City 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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