Northampton Town 1-1 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

Northampton Town
1-1 HT 1-0
Wigan Athletic
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Northampton Town vs Wigan Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.84
6+ Goals
11%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.14
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
20%
4.75
X/2
12%
6.27
X/X
8%
4.33
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
12%
4.65
2/X
10%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Northampton Town v Wigan Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -10%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.44
+8% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 72%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.1 Crosses 16.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Northampton Town vs Wigan Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
235 Passes 260
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
09.02.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
31.10.2020 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-3 HT 0-2 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
01.01.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
19.09.2017 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
04.04.2003 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1

Northampton Town 1-1 Wigan Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
1-1
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.26 xG 1.47
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
223 Passes 464
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 26
5 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northampton Town and Wigan Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Northampton Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Northampton Town had 35% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 65%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.26 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Northampton Town and 1.50 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Wigan Athletic?

Northampton Town 1-1 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 47%, draw 23%, Wigan Athletic 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Northampton Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northampton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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