Crewe Alexandra 3-0 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
14%
4.81
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.24 — our 39% vs market 36.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
14%
5.02
X/2
11%
5.76
X/X
16%
3.79
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
15%
4.53
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.4pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -20%
1.16/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.37
+19% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
273 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 67%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.3 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Barrow
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.49 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
316 Passes 215
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Barrow Barrow 1-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
20.01.2024 Barrow Barrow 1-3 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
22.12.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-3 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
07.04.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-0 HT 2-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
29.10.2022 Barrow Barrow 3-0 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
3-0
AWAY Barrow
2.54 xG 1.21
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
482 Passes 202
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra swept aside Barrow 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Crewe Alexandra as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 66% of the ball to Barrow's 34%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.54 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Barrow led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.60 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Barrow?

Crewe Alexandra 3-0 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 42%, draw 28%, Barrow 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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