Port Vale 2-1 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.23
6+ Goals
10%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.62
X/2
12%
6.6
X/X
14%
4.14
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
14%
5.27
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Vale EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.39/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.17
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
247 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 70%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.8 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Vale
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Salford City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.30 xG 0.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
238 Passes 223
62% Pass Accuracy 61%
21 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2024 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İNTK
10.08.2024 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
20.12.2022 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İNTK
05.04.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
18.01.2022 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
02.03.2021 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Port Vale
2-1
AWAY Salford City
1.23 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
186 Passes 189
66% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Port Vale vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Vale squeezed past Salford City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Port Vale as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Port Vale had 48% of the ball to Salford City's 52%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.23 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Port Vale and 0.50 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Port Vale vs Salford City?

Port Vale 2-1 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 42%, draw 26%, Salford City 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Vale), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Port Vale) ✓ BTTS Yes
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